SM5603
if nothing else, at least look at the table of RECENTLY EXTINCT U.S. BIRDS.

perryb

3 June 2005 Science Magazine
Perspectives
ECOLOGY:
Rediscovery of the Ivory-billed Woodpecker

David S. Wilcove

A book on North American wildlife, published in 2000, scoffed at the notion that the ivory-billed woodpecker (Campephilus principalis) might still be alive somewhere in the southern United States: "Although it remains the Holy Grail of American birdwatchers, with persistent rumors of its presence in remote forests, most ornithologists now concede that it vanished from the United States sometime in the past 40 years…Its presence today in the sterile, industrial forestlands of the South, however wonderful a thought, would be as out of place as a buckskin-clad settler with a musket in the streets of modern-day Atlanta". As the author of that book, I now know that sometimes it's great to be wrong. As reported by Fitzpatrick et al. on page 1460 of this issue, the ivory-billed woodpecker has been rediscovered in


Still hanging on in the woods. The Singer Tract in Louisiana, where this 1935 photograph was taken, was logged during World War II, but bottomland forests are now regenerating across the ivorybill's ancestral range.
CREDIT: COURTESY OF DAVID ALLEN AND THE CORNELL LABORATORY OF ORNITHOLOGY

eastern Arkansas, its presence confirmed by multiple sightings and a grainy but diagnostic videotape. The rediscovery stunned birdwatchers and generated headlines around the world. But those not under the spell of this charismatic species might well wonder what all the fuss is about. What is the ecological significance of the ivorybill's reappearance?

RECENTLY EXTINCT U.S. BIRDS
Species                            Last sighting     Reference
Olomao (Myadestes lanaiensis)      1980              (10)
Mariana mallard (Anas oustaleti)*  1981              (11)
Guam flycatcher (Myiagra 
freycineti)                        1983              (4)
Kamao (Myadestes myadestinus)      1985              (10)
Oahu alauahio (Paroreomyza 
maculata)                          1985              (10)
Kauai oo (Moho braccatus)          1987              (10)
Dusky seaside sparrow (Ammodramus 
[maritimus] nigrescens)            1987              (12)
Ou (Psittirostra psittacea)        1989              (10)
Poouli (Melamprosops phaeosoma)    2004              (13)
*Disputed species, not recognized by American Ornithologists' Union. Considered a subspecies of Ammodramus maritimus by American Ornithologists' Union.

Birds native to the United States that have become extinct since 1980. One additional species, Hawaiian crow (Corvus hawaiiensis), is now extinct in the wild but survives in captivity. The outlook for the species is uncertain. Fitzpatrick et al. did not find any breeding pairs in 14 months of nearly continuous field work, and they concede that all of their observations may refer to a single individual. Ivorybills naturally occur at very low densities. J. Tanner, who undertook the only field studies of the species in the late 1930s estimated the density of ivorybills to be no more than 1 pair per 16-44 km2 of suitable habitat. This characteristic, combined with the degraded condition of the current habitat and the paucity of sightings, suggests that any breeding population must be extremely small, perhaps only a few pairs. Such a tiny population would be highly vulnerable to stochastic extinction processes. Other North American birds, however, have rebounded from remarkably low numbers. The whooping crane (Grus americana) population was down to 14 adult individuals in 1938; today, it exceeds 200. No more than 7 Laysan ducks (Anas laysanensis) survived in 1912; the current population is ~500. Also, given the ivorybill's apparent dependence on old forests (see photo), the passage of time should result in more and better habitat for the woodpeckers, as second growth forests age.

Events preceding and following the ivorybill's rediscovery illustrate the relative benefits of two different approaches to conservation. The Cache River National Wildlife Refuge, where Fitzpatrick et al. made their discovery, was established in 1986 with the transfer of 154 ha from The Nature Conservancy, a private nonprofit conservation organization, to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Subsequent land-acquisition efforts by The Nature Conservancy and the federal government increased the refuge's size to ~22,300 ha. At the time the land was acquired, no one was anticipating the discovery of ivory-billed woodpeckers. Conservationists valued the area for its concentrations of wintering waterfowl and as an example of the swamp and bottomland hardwood forests that once dominated millions of hectares in the southeastern United States. The discovery of the ivorybill within the refuge's borders validates the wisdom of conserving representative examples of all types of ecosystems, regardless of whether they contain known populations of imperiled species. Such preservation can act as a "coarse filter" for protecting little-known or overlooked species.

Yet the documented presence of an ivorybill has resulted in an outpouring of support for conservation efforts in the region. On the day the bird's discovery was announced, for example, the U.S. Departments of Interior and Agriculture pledged $10 million for efforts to protect the ivorybill and its habitat. Unless these departments receive increased appropriations, that money will have to be taken from other worthy projects, presumably ones that lack a species as charismatic as the ivorybill, thereby demonstrating the value of a flagship species in generating support for conservation.

The resurrection of the ivorybill also raises an intriguing question: If a bird last sighted decades ago can return from the dead, might we be too hasty in writing the obituaries of other species? Indeed, the case of the ivorybill, while astounding, is not unprecedented. The black-hooded antwren (Formicivora erythronotos), for example, was rediscovered in southeastern Brazil in 1987 after more than 100 years without a sighting; the New Zealand storm-petrel (Oceanites maorianus), last recorded in the early to mid-19th century, was refound in January 2003.

Not surprisingly, environmental skeptics seize upon events such as these to question the prevailing opinion among ecologists that the world is facing an impending anthropogenic extinction crisis. Estimates of contemporary extinction rates are based largely on calculations relating the number of species to the amount of suitable habitat; as the amount of habitat decreases owing to human activities so, too, will the number of species. Considerable uncertainty surrounds the timing of this relationship. If small, isolated populations are indeed prone to extinction but disappear slowly, then rediscoveries of supposedly extinct species do not necessarily invalidate extinction predictions. Instead, such events offer a ray of hope for conservationists: If sufficient amounts of habitat can be restored (a big "if "), perhaps the loss of these species can be averted. Time is of the essence, however. A recent report from BirdLife International found that the status of most of the world's threatened birds continues to deteriorate.

Finally, the good news about the ivorybill should not obscure the bigger, uglier picture of avian extinction in the United States. No nation has lost more species of birds in the past 25 years than the United States, largely as a result of recent extinction events in Pacific islands (see the table). It would take multiple rediscoveries nearly as miraculous as that of the ivorybill to alter this shameful fact.

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